The open for any trading session can set the tone for the
day’s trade. Barring any major fundamentals, it can signal
whether or not traders are going to be primarily bearish or bullish, or neutral and cautious. The start of
the day can set the stage for your own trades as well. Starting off with a winning trade or having the market
move in your favor at the beginning of the day gives you a confidence level that can propel you to an
extremely successful trading day. Having a negative tone or having the market move against your analysis
and any open positions will probably color your judgment for the rest of the day.
It
all starts with your first trade of the day, and I actually have a
method I use to try to get on the right side of the market minutes after
the open.
I think the open can actually be one of the best times of day to trade.
Markets often open in one of three ways:
Balanced -
if the market opens in balance, many traders will stand aside looking
for opportunities later in the trading session. This is the type of open
many successful traders tend to stay away from. This open causes
nothing but trouble for the average trader who tends to chase trends
that may never materialize.
Out of Balance to the Upside
- if the market opens out of balance to the upside, traders will look
for a way to buy the market as soon as possible. This is the type of day
where I believe excellent trading opportunities can likely be found.
Out of Balance to the Downside
- if the market opens out of balance to the downside, traders will look
for a way to sell the market as soon as possible. This is the other
type of day where I believe excellent trading opportunities can likely
be found.
Experienced traders will watch for these signals to determine possible entry or exit opportunities.
Long
opportunities will present themselves if the market opens and trends
higher throughout the day. If that opening tick is the lowest price for
the session, traders will look to jump on board with long positions. The
same concept applies for bearish positions on a day where the opening
tick is the highest price for the session. Be wary of a trend that forms
after the market traded on either side of that opening tick – the
pattern would be potentially weaker.
The
exception to this would be a market that is testing support or
resistance after the open. If the market opens, trades to a known
technical resistance or support level, and then turns and doesn’t try to
go there again, it could still be a trending day.
*PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. |
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