The 9 Secrets to Profitable Forex Trading
Today
I am officially letting the “cat out of the bag”; I am going to give
you my 9 BIG secrets to profitable trading…OK OK, they aren’t really
“secrets”, but they are 9 very important things I personally do or have
done that have helped me become a better trader. Unfortunately, there
are no “secrets” to making money in the markets, but there
are
things that you need to do that you most likely aren’t doing, which will
greatly increase your odds of becoming a profitable trader. So, without
further ado, here are my 9
not-so-secret secrets to successful Forex trading:
1) PICK ONE
trading method and keep it clean and simple. Don’t go wasting time
trying to make sense of 15 indicators plastered all over your charts
like a piece of abstract art. The truth about trading strategies is that
finding one that gives you a high-probability edge in the market is not
that difficult. But if you over-complicate it and confuse yourself in
the process, you are going to do a great deal of harm to your trading
account. Look, your trading strategy should make sense and it should be
effective, but it should also be so simple that you could explain to a 5
year old, I’m serious.
The trading method that I have used for
years is price action (duh); it’s simple, effective, and flexible, and
it doesn’t take rocket science to understand or implement. If you want
to master trading you can pick one
price action strategy and learn how to trade it in every market condition; make it your bi$#!….REALLY master it before moving on.
For example, say you choose to learn the
pin bar
setup first, the best way to learn this setup is to trade it from key
levels within the structure of a trending market, do that first, and
make sure you are consistently profitable for 3 months or more trading
only that strategy before moving on.
2) ANTICIPATE
your trades and follow some kind of written plan. What I mean by
“anticipate” your trades is to make sure you never jump in the market on
a whim or without any pre-defined reason. You want to always make sure
you are basing your trades on logic and objectivity, not irrationality
and emotion (like most traders). So, you should have all the key levels
drawn on your charts, and assuming you have mastered
price action trading, you can simply sit back and wait for a setup to form at a key level in the market. This is called
“pre-empting”
your trades…instead of randomly jumping in and out of the market, you
are watching pre-defined areas in the market and waiting for price
action setups to form near them. Once your trade setup forms, you plan
your entry, enter the stop and target, and then let the market do the
“hard work”. Seriously, go play golf or something, don’t sit there and
think about your trade after you enter it, stop thinking for a while and
you might just make some money in the markets.
3) MAKE A DIARY OF YOUR TRADES
to keep a written on-going track record of your progress. I cannot tell
you guys with enough emphasis how important your trading journal
track-record is, except to say that if you don’t keep a trading journal
or at least regularly analyze your trading history and equity curve, you
are extremely unlikely to ever make consistent money in the markets.
The actual process of updating your
forex trading journal
will help you stay disciplined and organized. This is part of
developing the positive trading habits that are so crucial to becoming a
long-term profitable trader. I don’t care if you think updating your
journal is boring right now, stop complaining and start doing the things
that YOU KNOW you need to do to become successful. I can promise you
that if you keep screwing around by being unorganized and half-assing
it, you are never going to pull the sort of money from the market that
you want. You NEED to look at your track record on a regular basis to
see something tangible that reflects back to you your ability or
inability to trade. This will work to keep you on top of your game.
4) DON’T LISTEN TO ANYTHING BUT THE CHART,
because the chart reflects everything! That’s right, the price movement
on a raw, indicator-free price chart, reflects all variables that
affect a market. So, don’t get bogged down analyzing economic news and
watching CNBC, just learn to read the price chart and then let the price
action dictate your trading decisions, not what some talking head on TV
thinks. Also, NEVER trade what you think is going to happen, only trade
what you actually see happening in the charts. What I mean is this,
just because you “think” the
EURUSD
is going higher doesn’t mean it actually is, and your thoughts have no
bearing on the EURUSD or any other market. The only thing that matters
is what the price chart is telling you, so learn to read and trade from
that instead of outside sources.
5) DON’T GET GREEDY
or you will never make a profit. Greed is perhaps the most prevalent
reason why most traders fail. The late Rene Rivkin, a famous Australian
stock broker and trader, had a classic line about greed: “Leave some for
the next guy”. Here are some tips on how to avoid letting greed get the
best of you:
• Aim for a target before you place the trade – Yes,
that’s correct; you should already have a target in mind before you
enter a trade, and it’s best to pre-define your exit before you enter.
Exiting is not an exact science, and there are times when deviating from
your initial exit plan makes sense, but you should always decide before
you enter a trade what your ideal exit strategy is and then try to
stick to that plan as much as possible. Don’t change your exit strategy
once your trade is live just because you “think” the trade is going to
charge on in your favor forever, only change it if you have a very
obvious price action-based reason to do so.
• Never move your stop
loss further from entry – What I mean by this is entering a trade and
then the market starts to move against you immediately, do you move your
stop further away from the market price, or do you hold it in place?
Obviously, the only logical course of action is to accept your loss and
hold your stop where you pre-defined it, yet many traders email me
saying they have moved their stop away and now have a very big open loss
they don’t know what to do with. The answer is you have to take the
bigger loss because you did not take the smaller loss…always take the
smaller loss by not EVER moving your stop further from entry.
• Be happy to take a logical profit – If you have a nice 1:2
risk reward
profit and there is no obvious reason to try and trail your stop, then
by all means take the profit! Don’t just leave a trade open because you
are mesmerized by the potential for the market to move further in your
favor. Come back down to reality and realize the market ebbs and flows
and it’s more likely going to move back against you soon then move in
your favor if it’s already given you 2 times your risk.
• Only
trail stops once your trade is well into profit – I only attempt
trailing my stop if my trade is up about 1.5 times my risk and I am in a
runaway trend or a strong breakout move that clearly has potential to
keep going. Don’t start moving your stop up just because the trade pops
in your favor the first 10 minutes you enter. Give the trade some room
to grow and breath. Trading is like a garden, you have to give it time
to grow to taste its fruit.
• Don’t live in hope – I like to think
of hope as the catalyst for greed. Traders often hope that their trades
will go on forever in their favor, or they hope that if they move their
stop loss just a little further away, the trade will come back for
them. While hope is generally a good thing in every other area of life,
in Forex trading it can cause you to do irrational things that destroy
your trading account.
6) GET SOME BALLZ, because
trading is not for the emotionally weak or for wussies. That’s right, if
losing 5 trades in a row makes you cry and whinge, then forget about
becoming a trader. Don’t trade if you don’t have the money to lose, it’s
really that simple. You can lose money in trading, many beginners seem
to forget or ignore this fact. So, you should not be trading with money
that causes you to treat every trade like it’s life or death, you really
should almost not care at all if you lose on one trade, because ONE
trade DOES NOT define you as a trader. Your success as a trader is the
result of many months of trading results, not just one or two. Don’t get
all excited if you win a trade either, or a series of trades. Instead,
stay neutral and act like a strong minded professional with skill,
rather than a little school boy who just won $100. You need to be strong
to be a
successful forex trader;
you to focus and believe in yourself, and it’s OK to bet a little
harder on a trade if you are confident, but keep in mind this is only
advisable if you are 100% sure you have mastered your trading strategy
already.
7) DON’T CHANGE YOUR METHOD> STICK TO IT< BELIEVE IN IT,
because all trading methods will have losses and losing periods. So,
don’t run away and freak out in the face of some losing trades. Instead,
you need to hang in there and tough it out, just make sure you are
consistent with your strategy and that you are using something like
price action that is simple, logical, and has proven itself over time.
A
random entry method based on flipping a coin would probably make more
money than a trader following 3 different trading methods and running
around looking for the Holy Grail every day. The
Holy Grail
to long term success is in fact…sticking with something, believing in
it… and not hesitating when the opportunities present themselves.
8) MAKE SURE YOU CAN SLEEP AT NIGHT, because if you are having trouble sleeping due to your trading, it means you’ve risked too much. Don’t take a
position size
that you know is too big, because then you almost certainly will be too
emotionally involved with the trade which will result you in not
sleeping and becoming even more emotional. Not to mention, your frazzled
and obnoxious existence from risking too much will probably make your
wife or roommates want to kill you or send you to the loony bin.
You
need to learn to RELAX…the market is not going anywhere, you need to
trade a position size that you can handle emotionally, not one that
causes you to have a near melt-down every time the market moves against
you by a pip or two. If you find you are waking up over and over to
check the latest quote on your laptop or iPhone, you know you are IN
OVER YOUR HEAD. Some people risk too much money for the “rush”, some do
it out of stupidity or greed, whatever the case, make sure you are
risking a decent amount, but not an amount that makes your heart pound,
and not an amount that causes you to fall asleep at your computer desk!
9) ALWAYS PAY YOURSELF,
because if you don’t, who will? When you make money in the markets you
need to pay yourself, don’t re-invest all your profits in some vain
attempt to grow your account to infinity. Let’s be honest here, you are
in the markets to make money so that you can buy things, whether it’s a
house, a car, or trying to buy freedom from your job, you aren’t going
to buy anything if you keep all your money in your account. Pay yourself
and reward yourself, it will help to motivate you and will reinforce
positive trading habits.
Now that the “cat is out of the bag”, and
you guys know my 9 “secrets” to profitable trading, you have nothing to
hold you back but your own fear and lack of motivation. So, get off
your butt and drink a few coffees, or do whatever you need to do, but if
you really make an effort to implement these 9 tips, you will see your
trading improve.