Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Monday, September 22, 2014
1% Risk Position Size Per Trade
A One Percent Position Size is Paramount
We always recommend that traders only ever risk 1% of their trading capital on any one trade; this protects their trading capital as well as their emotional capital. This means that, in a losing streak of, say four or five trades, they still have capital to trade another day and their trader mindset is not knocked around by the experience. We have analysed the charts, placed our order, defined and accepted the amount of the risk, then allowed the markets to determine the outcome; stop or target - whichever comes first.
However, it is also important to trade no less than 1% per trade either. This is so important yet it is often an overlooked aspect of trading that is paramount for consistent trading success.
It is important to maintain the 1% risk per trade, no more and no less, at all times. When we are consistent with our position size we will have consistent outcomes. It is very difficult to review our profitability against our win:loss rate if the position size is variable from one trade to another. Traders who are novices or beginners will often reduce their position size after a couple of losers. There are various reasons for this and are all unhelpful to profitability. One reason is that they are unsure of their strategy, another is they are unsure of how to use their trading platform in relation to calculating the correct position size.
Yet another reason to vary position size is to assume they are protecting their capital, so by reducing their position size they falsely assume they are protecting their capital. Yet it’s the following trade that is likely to be a runaway winner. At the very time they needed a full position size they only had a half, or quarter, position on it. This plays havoc with profitability as well as impacts negatively on a traders mindset.
Traders also reduce their position size due to a sense of not wanting to risk the dollar amount that a 1% position would represent. This faulty thinking can come about from not truly accepting the cost of entering the trade, i.e. not fully accepting the risk. If this is the case the trader may want to re think how much they are truly willing to risk on any individual trade.
The final reason for reducing position size can come from a sense of being unduly ‘punished’ if the trade goes to stop. The important thing to realise here is that the cost of the trade going to stop needs to be large enough that the trader takes the trade seriously i.e. the cost of a cup of coffee will not have the same learning capabilities as the cost of a small car, yet small enough that the trader will not feel unduly penalised if it goes to stop. It is very difficult to enter a trade if the consequence of a loser is so great as to affect thinking and/or lifestyle.
The best way to address all these issues is to decide in advance what size a trading loss would make us take notice of the outcome yet not impact too harshly as to affect trading decisions. This will vary from person to person, however, once this dollar figure is established then this becomes the position size. Place funds into a trading account so that this cash amount represents a 1% position size.
Tuesday, September 2, 2014
How to edit .wave file?
This is a useful tool free download for editing wave files. Simply do the cut and paste or delete by opening the exiting wave file. MixPad Multitrack Recording Software.
http://www.nch.com.au/mixpad/index.html
http://www.nch.com.au/mixpad/index.html
Friday, August 22, 2014
Daily Financial News from Radio 958
http://liveradio.mediacorp.sg/meradio/public/xinmsn/player/?station=958fm
Mon-Friday, 8.50am, 11.50am, 5.50pm
Sunday, August 17, 2014
Three Secrets about Day Trading
Abstract from DayTradingPsychology.
http://www.daytradingpsychology.com/
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http://www.daytradingpsychology.com/
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There are Three Secrets you need to know about trading for a living so you don’t become a victim of circumstances.
First, trading is a profession that appears deceptively easy, but in reality aspiring traders are attempting to achieve what 90% of seasoned mutual fund managers never consistently attain; namely to “beat” the market year after year. (About 1/3 beat the market each year, but few sustain that pace the following year.)
Second, trading is a profession where one is wrong almost half the time. Furthermore, the ability to admit one is wrong is a critical asset, without which no progress can be made. Unfortunately, this is a skill few have ever practiced in the business world or in academia.
Third, trading is a profession where one’s interactions with the market are mediated 100% by one’s personality. Most traders eagerly prepare for their daily confrontation with the market, but few take the time to sufficiently prepare for the daily confrontation with their own internal reactions to price action and trading results.
EFFICIENT MARKETS
Markets are “efficient” at one thing: separating day traders from their capital. Only the top 15% of active traders make significant money in any one year and only the top 4% of day traders are consistent performers year to year.
There is a great deal of free information about online trading on this site. Take your time to browse and educate yourself. Before you leave, be sure toDownload my free 20-page report from the top of the sidebar detailing how the Top 4% of day traders make a living at the expense of the other 96%.
FREE YOUR MIND
Presumably you are visiting this site because you are aware that something about your daytrading needs fixing. It is usually a combination of one’s Method and one’s Mindset, because they are inter-dependent.
A poor Method with no real edge will quickly undermine your Mindset. Similarly, a toxic Mindset will render even the very best Methods ineffective. In my daytrading coaching program, we evaluate both elements.
Trading in the Zone is the title of one of Mark Douglas’ excellent books on the psychology of trading. “The Zone” is a state of focused attention and self-control in which we are responsive but not overly reactive; disciplined but not rigid, vigilant but not afraid.
In order to maintain this state of mind when actually day trading, a trader must master three skills.
1. MANAGE STRESS
Moderate levels of stress are stimulating, which makes trading less of a job and more of an adventure. If you exceed your “stress threshold,” however, you will get into an overload state that triggers primal emotions and defensive/aggressive behaviors.
KEY POINT: In this stressed-out state of mind, you will become re-active rather than pro-active. Your prefrontal brain function will be degraded so your ability to follow your trading plan will be impaired. You will miss the obvious and lose impulse control. Read more.
2. MAINTAIN A CONFIDENT MINDSET
Aspiring day traders pay far too much attention to what just happened in the market (the Recency Bias) and not enough attention to their own mental state.
Successful day traders actively manage their mental attitude in order to maintain confidence in the face of uncertainty; discipline in the midst of randomness. Maintaining a confident mental attitude is a skill that can be learned. Top athletes practice it. Top traders practice it. You can, too.
Even successful traders, however, are at risk of psychological wounding from a string of losses or a single large loss. Read more.
3. MASTER YOUR DAY TRADING ‘EDGE’
Your trading ‘edge’ is the method (plan) that gives you an advantage in your trading beyond the odds of chance. Professionals day trade a defined plan, amateurs trade intuitively, instinctively and often impulsively.
Professional traders exploit amateurs who make trading decisions based on emotion. Read more.
HIGH RISK TRADERS
Some traders lack the discipline to follow a trading plan, even when they want to. These traders tend to be intelligent, creative and intuitive, but also inconsistent, disorganized and impulsive. They are High Risk Traders. Here is the true story of one High Risk Trader I worked with. Let’s call him Art.
Art was a former executive at a well-known software company. He was smart, creative, confident, strong-willed, ambitious, hard-working and very dedicated. Nevertheless, despite his CEO-like personality, Art took his trading account from $1 million down to $100k in the year before he called me. How did this happen? Read more.
RISK OF RUIN
The Risk of Ruin defines the odds of reaching a point at which you are no longer mentally, emotionally or financially able to fund (or re-fund) your account. The risk increases exponentially for those day traders who:
- Enter too high for longs and too low for shorts;
- Can’t stay in a winning trade;
- Can’t take a loss in stride and keep losses small;
- Overtrade and “revenge” trade;
- Compulsively trade against the trend, and/or
- Can’t seem to learn from their mistakes.
These behaviors are warning signs that you are vulnerable. You can find out more by taking my Free Daytrader Risk Profile here. The Risk Profile will help you determine whether you have some of the psychological risk factors that can lead down this path. It is free of charge.
TO MASTER THE MARKET, MASTER YOURSELF
Whatever your level of intelligence, education or success in life, learning to day trade for a living is likely to be the most difficult challenge you have ever faced.
Your business skills may not help you because the daytrading environment is completely different than the business environment. Moreover, you are likely to encounter certain things about yourself that you were not prepared to face before.
I’m a competitive tennis player. In his autobiography, Andre Agassi wrote, “For me, tennis is a vehicle to discover myself and push myself.” For many traders, trading serves the same purpose. (It does for me.) You may be driven to master trading because it holds the secret not only to your financial future, but to your own self-mastery.
Many of my coaching clients report that as their daytrading improves, the quality of their life improves along with it. If you are this type of aspiring trader, passionate about succeeding, I can coach you to achieve your goals.
YOUR DAY TRADING COACH
I have a Ph.D., but I’m not an “academic.” I daytrade everyday for my own account and I help people free themselves from the various traps that we all fall into when we put our hard-earned capital at risk.
I know the issues from the inside as well as the solutions. Chances are I have been where you are and I can help you move forward.
Whether you are an aspiring rookie, an experienced veteran who is stuck at break-even, or a successful professional daytrader looking to sharpen your edge, let me help you reach your full trading potential.
You have two choices. I offer a comprehensive 10-Module WINNING TRADER’S MINDSET Course with PDF, Audio and Video components. Find out more about ithere.
To review my 6-Week Daytrading Coaching Intensive, click here.
My fully customized 6-week Day Trading Coaching program costs just $2997.
SIGN UP NOW.
Monday, July 7, 2014
First Test Support and Resistance Strategy
http://www.forexschoolonline.com/first-test-support-resistance-price-action-trading-strategy/
Use Daily to identify the FTR level then use smaller time frame like H1 for entry
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Thursday, July 3, 2014
Trading Related Blogs
Trading Related Blogs:
http://www.forexschoolonline.com/
http://www.businessweek.com/
http://www.dailyfx.com/real_time_news
http://www.forexfactory.com/
http://www.forexlive.com/
http://www.forexcrunch.com/
http://www.fxstreet.com/
http://www.babypips.com/
http://www.financialjuice.com/news/
http://forexmagnates.com/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/
http://money.cnn.com/news/
http://www.winnersedgetrading.com/forex-blog-3/
http://www.bloomberg.com/
http://online.wsj.com/
http://www.forexschoolonline.com/
http://www.businessweek.com/
http://www.dailyfx.com/real_time_news
http://www.forexfactory.com/
http://www.forexlive.com/
http://www.forexcrunch.com/
http://www.fxstreet.com/
http://www.babypips.com/
http://www.financialjuice.com/news/
http://forexmagnates.com/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/
http://money.cnn.com/news/
http://www.winnersedgetrading.com/forex-blog-3/
http://www.bloomberg.com/
http://online.wsj.com/
Thursday, June 12, 2014
Dead Cat Bounce Pattern
Day trading the Dead Cat Bounce Pattern has Five (5) simple steps:
(1) One, we wait for a large, fast-paced move in the price-action on your chart, likely after news is released, or the opening-bell rings.
(2) Two, rather than chasing after a trade, trying to get into the trade while the price-action is moving so quickly, stay patient and wait for the price-action to calm down and then start to retrace back in the opposite direction.
(3) Three, pay close attention looking for a 50% retracement of the move that occurred after the news was released.
(4) Four, look for an entry opportunity going in the same direction as the first move that was too fast for you to catch the first time around.
(5) Five, we place our stop-loss just above the 50% retracement and our profit-target at the 100% extension of the prior move down.
Motivational Quotes
“In any situation, the best thing you can do is the right thing; the next best thing you can do is the wrong thing; the worst thing you can do is nothing.”
- Theodore Roosevelt
“Take the first step in faith. You don’t have to see the whole staircase, just take the first step.”
- Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.
“People become really quite remarkable when they start thinking that they can do things. When they believe in themselves they have the first secret of success.” - Norman Vincent Peale
"Life doesn't get better by chance, it gets better by change."
"Feed a man Fish and He eats for a day.
Teach a Man to Fish and He (and his family) will eat for a Lifetime"
“Keep away from people who try to belittle your ambitions. Small people always do that, but the really great make you feel that you, too, can become great.”
- Mark Twain
“Desire is the starting point of all achievement, not a hope, not a wish, but a keen pulsating desire which transcends everything.”
- Napoleon Hill
“Keep away from people who try to belittle your ambitions. Small people always do that, but the really great make you feel that you, too, can become great.”
- Mark Twain
- Theodore Roosevelt
“Take the first step in faith. You don’t have to see the whole staircase, just take the first step.”
- Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.
“People become really quite remarkable when they start thinking that they can do things. When they believe in themselves they have the first secret of success.” - Norman Vincent Peale
"Life doesn't get better by chance, it gets better by change."
"Feed a man Fish and He eats for a day.
Teach a Man to Fish and He (and his family) will eat for a Lifetime"
“Keep away from people who try to belittle your ambitions. Small people always do that, but the really great make you feel that you, too, can become great.”
- Mark Twain
“Desire is the starting point of all achievement, not a hope, not a wish, but a keen pulsating desire which transcends everything.”
- Napoleon Hill
“Keep away from people who try to belittle your ambitions. Small people always do that, but the really great make you feel that you, too, can become great.”
- Mark Twain
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
12 Things about Day Trading
http://www.businessinsider.com/12-things-i-learned-about-life-from-daytrading-millions-of-dollars-2013-11?IR=T
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/12-things-i-learned-about-life-from-daytrading-millions-of-dollars-2013-11#ixzz34FLThbrM
I was a daytrader for many years, and it almost killed me.
I made money by making profits on my own money and also taking a percentage of the profits for the people I traded for. I traded up to $40 or $50 million a day at my peak. I did this from 2001 to 2004.
I learned about daytrading but I also learned a lot about myself and what I was good at, what I was horrible at, and what I was psychotic at. Things that had nothing to do with daytrading.
Daytrading is the best job in the world on the days you make money. You make a trade, then maybe 20 minutes later you are out of the trade with a profit, and for the rest of the day you think about how much money you made.
It's the worst job in the world on a bad day. I would make a trade, it would go against me, and then I wanted my heart to stop so my blood would stop thumping so loudly.
I did it for years, though, because I was unemployable in every other way.
Here's what I learned. All of these lessons I will certainly use today, many years after I stopped daytrading.
A) You can't predict the future. Everyone thinks they can. But they can't.
This applies not just to trading but everything. You could be married for 10 years and the next thing you know — you are divorced and you would not have predicted that.
You could be healthy all your life and drink your vegetables and exercise and reduce stress and a year later you could be dead from cancer.
Much less stress if you let go of trying to predict the future.
You can always seek to increase the odds in your favor — if I don't jump off bridges, for instance, it's more likely I'll be alive a year from now — but certainly a path to unhappiness is thinking the future can be predicted and controlled.
B) Hope is not a strategy.
If you get to the point where you "hope" you don't get ruined, then you did something wrong beforehand.
For instance, if you plan a wedding outside and you don't have a backup plan in case it rains, then you probably mis-planned your wedding, unless you are getting married in a desert.
"Hoping" is not a bad thing. I hope that every day my life goes perfectly.
But if Hoping is the only thing I'm relying on, then it means I didn't really look at all the possible outcomes of something that was important to me.
C) Uncertainty is your best friend.
100% of opportunities in life are created because people are uncertain about almost everything in their lives.
We are constantly trying to close the enormous gap between the things we are certain about and the things we are uncertain about and almost every invention, product, Internet service, book, whatever has been created to help us close that gap.
Sometimes this is hard. If your husband betrays and leaves you, you often feel like crawling on the floor and burning all the self-help books. They all lied.
It's hard to feel "in the now" or to "positive think" when life feels like it's over. I've tried. For me it's too hard.
But at the very very least you can say..."help me". You can say it to your close friends. You can say it something inside of yourself.
"Help me" is the most powerful, and most forgotten, prayer.
D) Taking risks versus reducing risk.
Some people take too many risks and they go bankrupt. This happened to me. And sometimes people are too cautious and don't take enough risks.
When I first started daytrading I was so afraid of risk that if I had a small profit, I'd end the trade. But then I would take big losses and that would wipe out all my profits.
The key is that you can take larger and larger risks if you work on better and better ways to deal with those risks.
For instance, I might be able to risk marrying someone if I know she is not a hard-core drug addict who regularly betrays the people she is close to.
I can risk driving without a license if I always stay below the speed limit (I know this is a stupid risk, but still..). Once you have a method of reducing risks, it's easier to make trades or decisions about anything.
E) Diversification.
Often I get emails, "I really want ONE job but they don't seem to want me and now I'm miserable. How can I get that job?"
Well... you can't.
And you're going to be unhappy. You can't wish yourself a job.
When I was raising money to daytrade I probably contacted over 1,000 people. When I was starting an Internet business I started over a dozen Internet businesses and watched all of them fail but one. When I was trying to sell my Internet business I contacted over a dozen companies (although Google broke my heart — damn you Google!).
When I wanted to get married, I went on lots of dates. Claudia's approach was even smarter — she wouldn't waste time with dinners. She would only go to tea with guys. Within the first 20 seconds you know if you are attracted. So keep it to a tea.
F) Say no.
In daytrading, if something is not working out, even if your heart wants it to work out, you have to say "No" and cut your losses.
If a business relationship is not working out, don't put more energy and time into it.
There is a cognitive bias called "commitment bias". We think because we've already put time and energy (or money) into something that we have to stick with it. But this is just a mental bias. Say no to it.
You have to decide every moment if this is the situation you want to be in.
Just because you were in the situation a moment ago, or yesterday, or for 10 years, doesn't mean the situation is right for you any more.
G) Health.
Daytrading pulls everything out of you. It sucks the soul out of your body, blends it up, and then explodes. It doesn't turn into a nice smoothie. It explodes.
So you have to take care of yourself. If you don't sleep enough. if you don't eat well, exercise, be around positive people, be grateful for what you have, blah blah blah you will lose all of your money and go bankrupt.
And obviously, this applies to everything else in life. Every day, what small thing can you do to become a slightly better You?
The reason we get so attracted to "safe" cubicle jobs is that the pain is more subtle and sneaks up on us. It's not the blender-drama of daytrading so the need for health on a daily basis doesn't seem as important. But it is.
I) Laughter.
The only way to survive is to laugh. There's that saying: "men make plans but god laughs." Well, you might as well be on the same side as god.
J) "This is crazy" means you're crazy.
I've seen it a million times. Guy makes a trade. The market goes against him. He says "this is crazy" and puts more money into the trade. And then he loses all his money and goes crazy. I've had to talk people off the ledge or tell them to put the gun down.
The market is never crazy. The world is never crazy. And I will go so far as to say that your girlfriend who just lied to you about where she spent the night is not crazy.
I only care about you. And you're effin crazy if you thought the world was going to line up any other way other than the way it lined up.
Tough on you.
I know when I feel like, "ugh, this situation is insane" that the first place I need to look is at me.
I am insane.
K) It doesn't matter if a trade (or a day, or a life) is good or bad.
Good and bad days happen. But life is about a billion little moments that add up to all the things around you. If you let one of those moments have too much control then you are bound to be mostly miserable.
I was mostly miserable during the period I was daytrading. I let that aspect of my life take control. So I stopped focusing on being a good husband, a good father, a good friend, a good anything.
All of my other constituencies went to hell.
I would have nightmares. I would lose sleep. I would wake up many mornings and go to the church across the street so I could be by myself and pray. What would I pray? "Jesus, please make the markets go in my direction today."
I'm Jewish. Nobody answered my prayers.
L) It's never about the money.
Every day I get emails like, "can you show me how to daytrade?"
"NO!"
I know 1,000 daytraders and only two that won't go bankrupt. So what makes anyone think they will have an edge? How many people listen to me?
About 0.
How come?
Because people are sick of their lives, their relationships, their jobs, and all the lies that have been told to them ever since they learned how to walk.
They want freedom from the BS.
I get it.
Daytrading is the dream. You can make enough money to not care. To do it from anywhere. To be happy.
It won't work. But people don't want to believe it. Most people think they have that one special something that will make it work for them.
And it's true — they do have that one special something.
But you can't get there by daytrading first.
You can skip right to the being happy part. You can skip right to being Free.
But we never learned that. We were taught we had to DO something first to earn freedom.
We were taught that suffering was the currency to buy happiness.
Ok, go do it. Then cry about it. Then get scared. Then curse the craziness. Then cry more. None of that will make you happy.
Then read this blog post again. Not because it will make you happy. But because I like when people read my posts.
And laugh.
More from The Altucher Confidential:
This article originally appeared at The Altucher Confidential. Copyright 2014.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/12-things-i-learned-about-life-from-daytrading-millions-of-dollars-2013-11#ixzz34FLThbrM
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